Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 4.957941 5.573244 6.244792 7.033698 7.937055 8.941425 10.145805
2024-12-29 4.177751 5.019514 6.009804 7.267087 8.829685 10.719254 13.194448
2025-01-05 3.580890 4.517642 5.682509 7.250256 9.324399 12.001429 15.761811
2025-01-12 3.140807 4.119590 5.392036 7.187586 9.688342 13.095947 18.173685
2025-01-19 2.683487 3.630519 4.906285 6.776775 9.493567 13.365205 19.426478
2025-01-26 2.457932 3.423021 4.767245 6.810832 9.900415 14.497691 22.050099
2025-02-02 2.326490 3.328908 4.769609 7.036352 10.597070 16.120757 25.631295
2025-02-09 2.188458 3.208287 4.715937 7.162953 11.143646 17.560415 29.102297
2025-02-16 2.059353 3.086743 4.645400 7.248982 11.624533 18.936473 32.644879
2025-02-23 1.943886 2.974324 4.575766 7.323919 12.086618 20.322986 36.391351
2025-03-02 1.783191 2.776374 4.351802 7.118184 12.040605 20.808957 38.518668
2025-03-09 1.664646 2.636300 4.208779 7.033247 12.192111 21.656998 41.451592
2025-03-16 1.553138 2.501901 4.068481 6.947299 12.346506 22.555047 44.683622
2025-03-23 1.515917 2.489039 4.132598 7.231958 13.222849 24.948214 51.441100
2025-03-30 1.434110 2.393008 4.043865 7.226266 13.538745 26.267190 56.083592
2025-04-06 1.351600 2.289269 3.932542 7.166044 13.737286 27.365414 60.404788
2025-04-13 1.226125 2.100350 3.653236 6.757036 13.182768 26.800473 60.704431
2025-04-20 1.173141 2.038580 3.602419 6.791067 13.551188 28.282225 66.245248
2025-04-27 1.149086 2.027850 3.645433 7.015864 14.349143 30.825693 74.940778
2025-05-04 1.113955 1.993761 3.640933 7.142051 14.944573 32.981734 83.038040
2025-05-11 1.076320 1.952187 3.618460 7.227798 15.457733 35.010203 91.187567
2025-05-18 1.039908 1.910405 3.592217 7.302487 15.952943 37.061253 99.818533
2025-05-25 0.976230 1.811244 3.443917 7.097431 15.764976 37.363711 103.339378